Würmla vs Marchfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
58.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
WUR
0 - 3
KOT
18%
21%
62%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SPR
3 - 0
WUR
45%
22%
33%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
WUR
0 - 3
KRE
10%
15%
75%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
GAF
3 - 2
WUR
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
WUR
2 - 5
WAI
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
MAN
4 - 1
SPR
73%
15%
12%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
KRE
2 - 1
MAN
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 0
GAF
66%
17%
17%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
WAI
0 - 2
MAN
23%
21%
57%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
4 - 3
LEO
28%
22%
51%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |