Würmla vs Fortuna 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
VIE
5 - 0
WUR
83%
12%
5%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
WUR
0 - 3
EIS
22%
23%
56%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
RIT
6 - 0
WUR
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
WUR
0 - 4
AUS
20%
23%
58%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
SCH
0 - 1
WUR
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
FOR
3 - 1
SVR
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
WIE
0 - 0
FOR
85%
11%
5%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
FOR
0 - 7
SKN
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
KOT
4 - 1
FOR
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
FOR
2 - 3
TFW
28%
24%
48%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |