Würmla vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
ZWE
2 - 0
WUR
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
WUR
0 - 0
OST
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
WIE
3 - 3
WUR
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
WUR
0 - 4
AUS
12%
20%
68%
|
33 | 81 | 48 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
WUR
1 - 2
SVH
33%
26%
42%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
OST
5 - 0
BAU
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
BAU
2 - 1
SVH
24%
25%
51%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +4 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
FCW
3 - 2
BAU
74%
17%
9%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
BAU
1 - 6
RBJ
20%
21%
59%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
BAU
2 - 1
SCH
27%
25%
49%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +2 |