Würmla vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
ZWE
3 - 2
WUR
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
WUR
2 - 2
FCM
20%
20%
60%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SVH
5 - 7
WUR
46%
22%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
WUR
0 - 1
MAN
20%
22%
58%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
WUR
0 - 3
KOT
18%
21%
62%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
ARD
1 - 1
SPR
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
KRE
2 - 4
ARD
90%
7%
3%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
ARD
3 - 1
GAF
33%
24%
43%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
WAI
1 - 1
ARD
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
ARD
0 - 3
LEO
13%
19%
67%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |