Würmla vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
LAN
3 - 2
WUR
45%
24%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
WUR
0 - 3
STP
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
WAI
4 - 0
WUR
18%
21%
60%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
SVS
0 - 5
WUR
17%
21%
62%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
WUR
3 - 4
KOT
55%
23%
23%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
ARD
3 - 0
SVS
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
KOT
5 - 0
ARD
47%
25%
29%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
ARD
1 - 4
GOT
50%
24%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
ZWE
1 - 4
ARD
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
ARD
1 - 1
BAD
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |