Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
43.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
8º
16º
9º
64
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 76 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 74 |
2º
|
76% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 62 |
3º
|
96% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
4º
|
92.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 47 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 43 |
6º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 40 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 35 |
8º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 31 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 29 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 27 |
15º
|
69% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 19 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 24% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 76% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wuhan Three Towns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WFC
1 - 1
CBC
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SHI
1 - 1
WFC
17%
22%
61%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
BEI
1 - 2
WFC
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WFC
1 - 2
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
WFC
0 - 2
SHA
24%
24%
52%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Shanghai Shenhua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 5
SHA
11%
23%
66%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
SJF
0 - 0
SHA
20%
25%
55%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 2
CHA
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
6 - 0
SHA
41%
25%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
QYI
0 - 1
SHA
15%
25%
60%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | +1 |