Wuhan Three Towns vs Chengdu Rongcheng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
8º
16º
9º
52
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 76 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 74 |
2º
|
76% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 62 |
3º
|
96% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
4º
|
92.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 47 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 43 |
6º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 40 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 35 |
8º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 31 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 29 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 27 |
15º
|
69% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 19 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 96% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wuhan Three Towns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SHI
1 - 1
WFC
17%
22%
61%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
BEI
1 - 2
WFC
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WFC
1 - 2
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
WFC
0 - 2
SHA
24%
24%
52%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
GFC
4 - 3
WFC
20%
22%
58%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
CBC
2 - 0
GUA
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
CBC
2 - 1
TIT
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
CBC
15%
24%
61%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
CBC
4 - 0
SHI
78%
15%
8%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
QIN
1 - 5
CBC
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |