Hubei Istar vs Haikou Mingcheng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
7º
7º
11
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
29 | 21 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 16 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 16 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 15 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 15 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 14 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 14 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 11 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 9 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 8 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hubei Istar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 2
WCH
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WCH
1 - 2
SSP
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
WCH
21%
22%
58%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
WCH
0 - 0
BIT
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RZY
1 - 0
WCH
22%
22%
57%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Haikou Mingcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HSF
2 - 2
TTF
19%
23%
58%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
XIR
0 - 1
HSF
13%
17%
70%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HSF
1 - 1
SHA
56%
21%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 2
HSF
38%
22%
39%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HBF
2 - 2
HSF
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |