Hogo Wels vs St. Marienkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hogo Wels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
BAD
2 - 5
HER
25%
21%
54%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
HER
3 - 2
UNP
83%
12%
6%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 3
HER
26%
21%
53%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
HER
2 - 2
DON
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
BAD
3 - 3
HER
20%
20%
60%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
St. Marienkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
ASV
33%
22%
45%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
GRI
0 - 2
MAR
90%
7%
3%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
OED
9%
15%
76%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
GRU
2 - 2
MAR
64%
18%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 0
GMU
31%
22%
47%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |