FC Hertha Wels vs Gleisdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
15º
2º
7
12º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 70 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
19 | 60 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 50 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 49 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 46 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 46 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 46 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 45 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 39 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 39 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 39 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 38 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 37 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
|
13º
|
7 | 29 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 23 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 20 |
16º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 36.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hertha Wels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HER
1 - 0
GUR
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
SVW
1 - 3
HER
16%
22%
62%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
LBN
25%
26%
50%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ANN
1 - 2
HER
32%
25%
44%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
FCB
9%
15%
76%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Gleisdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
VOR
0 - 1
GDF
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NEU
0 - 0
GDF
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
SVW
2 - 0
GDF
73%
16%
12%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LJU
2 - 1
GDF
80%
13%
8%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
GDF
0 - 5
GUR
21%
24%
55%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |