Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 7-0
Wrexham AFC vs Zurrieq FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
ZUR
0 - 3
WRE
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
WRE
0 - 1
ROM
20%
26%
54%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
ROM
2 - 0
WRE
85%
11%
4%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
FCP
4 - 3
WRE
86%
10%
3%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
WRE
1 - 0
FCP
23%
32%
45%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Zurrieq FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
ZUR
0 - 3
WRE
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
KFC
9 - 0
ZUR
93%
5%
2%
|
46 | 78 | 32 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1985 |
ZUR
0 - 3
KFC
12%
18%
70%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1985 |
RAB
2 - 0
ZUR
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
HKS
4 - 0
ZUR
90%
7%
3%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | 0 |