Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-2
Wrexham AFC vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
52.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
ZUR
1 - 1
WRE
85%
10%
5%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1963 |
WRE
3 - 5
OPA
42%
20%
38%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1961 |
ASV
3 - 0
WRE
80%
11%
8%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1960 |
WRE
3 - 1
BBU
22%
20%
59%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 1960 |
BBU
1 - 1
WRE
83%
10%
7%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
ZUR
1 - 1
WRE
85%
10%
5%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1970 |
ZUR
3 - 2
BRU
45%
24%
32%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
BRU
2 - 0
ZUR
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1970 |
KAA
0 - 7
ZUR
37%
23%
41%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
ZUR
7 - 1
KAA
72%
16%
13%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |