Wrexham AFC vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 2
WRE
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
BAT
0 - 2
WRE
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
WRE
1 - 1
CAM
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
LUT
2 - 1
WRE
66%
19%
14%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
WRE
0 - 3
LUT
38%
28%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
TAM
1 - 0
DAR
30%
28%
43%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
TAM
1 - 0
EBB
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
TAM
52%
25%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
TAM
2 - 1
FOR
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
WRE
4 - 2
TAM
60%
24%
16%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |