Wrexham AFC vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
QPR
2 - 0
WRE
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
POS
6 - 1
WRE
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
WRE
3 - 0
GRI
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
WRE
1 - 1
RUS
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
BOU
6 - 0
WRE
40%
26%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
SWI
2 - 0
GRI
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
PLY
2 - 1
SWI
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
SWI
2 - 1
BRE
71%
19%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
SWI
2 - 0
TRA
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
SWI
2 - 0
CHE
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |