Wrexham AFC vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
BCF
1 - 0
WRE
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
WRE
0 - 0
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
WRE
2 - 0
BRO
43%
27%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
MAN
3 - 0
WRE
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
WRE
1 - 1
ROC
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
BUR
2 - 1
STE
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
STE
0 - 2
NOR
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
STE
1 - 2
DAG
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
SOU
1 - 2
STE
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
RUS
2 - 2
STE
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |