Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 3-1
Wrexham AFC vs Stal Rzeszow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
DJU
1 - 1
WRE
83%
11%
7%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
WRE
2 - 1
DJU
26%
21%
54%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1974 |
BUR
1 - 0
WRE
92%
6%
2%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
HKS
2 - 0
WRE
81%
12%
7%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
WRE
3 - 1
HKS
26%
21%
53%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
Stal Rzeszow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
STA
0 - 1
WIS
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
STA
4 - 0
SKE
60%
20%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
STA
1 - 0
STA
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1975 |
STA
2 - 2
TSP
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
LPO
2 - 0
STA
56%
26%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |