Wrexham AFC vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
30%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
SUT
1 - 0
WRE
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
WRE
0 - 1
TRA
28%
27%
46%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
WRE
0 - 3
MAC
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
LIN
1 - 0
WRE
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
WRE
3 - 1
FOR
24%
26%
51%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
SOU
4 - 3
EAS
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
FAR
0 - 4
SOU
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 0
SOL
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SOU
4 - 5
BRA
43%
25%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 2
SOU
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |