Wrexham AFC vs Salford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
WRE
3 - 0
STF
83%
13%
5%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
POS
0 - 2
WRE
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WRE
3 - 0
REA
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 0
WRE
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
SHE
4 - 2
WRE
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Salford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 0
MKD
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 1
SAL
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 2
POR
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
SAL
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 2
DON
31%
23%
46%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |