Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 2-2
Wrexham AFC vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
ZAR
0 - 0
WRE
81%
13%
7%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
WRE
4 - 0
ZUR
75%
15%
10%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
ZUR
0 - 3
WRE
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
WRE
0 - 1
ROM
20%
26%
54%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
ROM
2 - 0
WRE
85%
11%
4%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
ZAR
1 - 0
OSA
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
RSO
1 - 0
ZAR
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
ZAR
0 - 0
WRE
81%
13%
7%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
ZAR
2 - 3
BET
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
ATM
2 - 1
ZAR
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |