Wrexham AFC vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 0
WRE
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
SHE
4 - 2
WRE
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WRE
3 - 2
WYC
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WRE
1 - 0
FLE
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 4
WRE
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
REA
3 - 1
WHU
55%
20%
25%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
REA
2 - 0
WIG
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
COL
2 - 2
REA
15%
19%
66%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 1
REA
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
REA
2 - 0
HUL
35%
24%
41%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |