Wrexham AFC vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 2
WRE
43%
24%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 2
WRE
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
WRE
2 - 1
SUT
82%
12%
6%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
WRE
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WRE
3 - 2
SAL
67%
19%
15%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
BUR
29%
24%
47%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
POR
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
POR
1 - 2
CHE
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
POS
19%
24%
57%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
STE
0 - 0
POR
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |