Wrexham AFC vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2005 |
WRE
4 - 1
MAN
49%
25%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
BOS
2 - 1
WRE
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
WRE
1 - 1
POS
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
OXF
0 - 3
WRE
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
POR
2 - 1
WRE
41%
24%
35%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2005 |
POS
2 - 0
NOT
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
GUL
2 - 1
NOT
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
NOT
2 - 2
GUL
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
BOS
1 - 2
NOT
57%
23%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
NOT
2 - 3
CHE
43%
27%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |