Wrexham AFC vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
CHE
2 - 1
WRE
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
WRE
1 - 2
SHW
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
WRE
4 - 2
BPO
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
STO
0 - 1
WRE
40%
25%
36%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
WRE
2 - 0
POS
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
NOT
1 - 2
BRI
29%
25%
45%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
POS
5 - 2
NOT
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
MID
2 - 0
NOT
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
LUT
2 - 0
NOT
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
NOT
3 - 3
QPR
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |