Wrexham AFC vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
LUT
0 - 1
WRE
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
WRE
4 - 0
STO
64%
23%
13%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
HAY
0 - 2
WRE
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
GAT
1 - 4
WRE
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
WRE
1 - 0
EBB
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
3 - 1
KET
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 2
TAM
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
FLE
1 - 4
NEW
63%
22%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 3
SOU
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
DAR
2 - 0
NEW
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |