FA Cup 1/256
Global 3-1
Wrexham AFC vs Marine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
WRE
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
WRE
1 - 1
CHE
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
STO
2 - 1
WRE
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
WRE
1 - 0
DAG
32%
28%
41%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
GRI
3 - 1
WRE
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
WRE
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 0
KID
74%
17%
10%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
187
1 - 2
MAR
17%
20%
64%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 2
ATH
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ATH
0 - 0
MAR
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |