EFL Cup 1/64
Global 1-3
Wrexham AFC vs Mansfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
WRE
1 - 3
WIG
31%
28%
42%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
MAN
0 - 1
WRE
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
BCF
1 - 4
WRE
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
WRE
0 - 2
BRI
41%
27%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
WRE
1 - 0
GIL
29%
28%
43%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
EXE
0 - 0
MAN
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2000 |
MAN
4 - 4
MAC
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
PLY
2 - 0
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
MAN
0 - 1
WRE
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
BAR
3 - 3
MAN
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |