Wrexham AFC vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
OLD
1 - 1
WRE
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
COL
3 - 1
WRE
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
WRE
1 - 2
HAR
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
POR
1 - 0
WRE
51%
24%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
WRE
0 - 1
TRA
41%
26%
32%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2004 |
LUT
1 - 1
BOU
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
LUT
3 - 2
BRI
44%
26%
31%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
LUT
0 - 3
SWI
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
TRA
1 - 0
LUT
47%
25%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
HAR
4 - 3
LUT
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |