Wrexham AFC vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
MAC
4 - 1
WRE
49%
27%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
WRE
2 - 0
MAI
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ALD
2 - 0
WRE
56%
25%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
WRE
1 - 0
SOL
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
WRE
2 - 0
EBB
31%
28%
41%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2017 |
TOW
2 - 2
KID
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
UNM
3 - 2
TOW
23%
23%
55%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
DAR
2 - 3
TOW
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
TOW
3 - 1
BOS
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SPE
3 - 1
TOW
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -2 |