Wrexham AFC vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
35.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
WOK
2 - 1
WRE
50%
25%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
WRE
1 - 1
SAL
51%
25%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
WRE
2 - 0
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
GRI
3 - 1
WRE
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 0
WRE
52%
25%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
HER
0 - 1
GRI
26%
28%
46%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
GRI
1 - 2
LUT
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NUN
0 - 1
GRI
36%
29%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
GRI
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
GRI
3 - 1
WRE
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |