Wrexham AFC vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 1
WRE
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
WRE
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
WRE
3 - 1
LIN
56%
23%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
GUL
1 - 0
WRE
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
WRE
1 - 3
WOK
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
MAC
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 1
FOR
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 0
BRA
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LIN
0 - 1
FOR
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 1
GUL
68%
20%
13%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |