Wrexham AFC vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
NUN
0 - 0
WRE
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
WRE
3 - 0
BAR
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
WRE
2 - 2
DAR
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LUT
0 - 0
WRE
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 4
WRE
31%
29%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 0
LIN
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
FOR
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 2
FOR
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 1
ALF
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GRI
1 - 0
FOR
51%
24%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |