Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-2
Wrexham AFC vs Djurgårdens IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
53.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1974 |
BUR
1 - 0
WRE
92%
6%
2%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
HKS
2 - 0
WRE
81%
12%
7%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
WRE
3 - 1
HKS
26%
21%
53%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
WRE
2 - 1
ZUR
26%
22%
52%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
ZUR
1 - 1
WRE
85%
10%
5%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Djurgårdens IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1975 |
DJU
0 - 0
AIK
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
GIF
2 - 1
DJU
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1975 |
DJU
3 - 2
HIF
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1975 |
GAI
1 - 2
DJU
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1975 |
DJU
1 - 2
NOR
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |