Wrexham AFC vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
WRE
2 - 0
TAM
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 2
WRE
27%
25%
49%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
WRE
0 - 0
HAL
51%
24%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
WRE
2 - 1
ALD
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 0
WRE
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
DAR
3 - 3
CAM
26%
28%
46%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
KID
1 - 2
DAR
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 0
DAR
71%
18%
12%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2014 |
WEL
1 - 1
DAR
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
DAR
1 - 2
WEL
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |