Wrexham AFC vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
40.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
POS
4 - 1
WRE
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2007 |
WRE
0 - 0
WYC
25%
27%
48%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
WRE
0 - 1
STF
27%
28%
45%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
NOT
2 - 1
WRE
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
WRE
0 - 2
BAR
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
CHE
0 - 2
MKD
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHE
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHE
39%
29%
32%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2007 |
LIN
0 - 1
CHE
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
CHE
2 - 2
WYC
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |