Wrexham AFC vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
CHE
2 - 2
WRE
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
ROC
0 - 1
WRE
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
MAC
3 - 2
WRE
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
WRE
0 - 0
BCF
58%
23%
18%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 2
WRE
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 1
CHE
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
DAR
1 - 0
CHE
55%
25%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2006 |
CHE
1 - 1
GUL
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
GRI
1 - 0
CHE
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 2
LEY
35%
27%
39%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |