Wrexham AFC vs Burton Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
WRE
3 - 0
YEO
83%
11%
6%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
TOW
2 - 2
WRE
18%
23%
59%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
WRE
6 - 0
MOR
72%
17%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
STA
2 - 0
WRE
21%
24%
54%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
WRE
2 - 0
GIL
78%
14%
7%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Burton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 2
OPA
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
POS
4 - 0
BUR
70%
19%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
BUR
2 - 1
MAN
25%
23%
53%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 2
POR
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 0
BUR
33%
27%
41%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |