FA Cup 1/256
Global 4-3
Wrexham AFC vs Blyth Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BLY
1 - 1
WRE
9%
16%
75%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WRE
7 - 5
BAR
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
NOT
1 - 0
WRE
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OLD
1 - 2
WRE
21%
23%
56%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WRE
6 - 0
GUL
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Blyth Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BLY
1 - 1
WRE
9%
16%
75%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BLY
1 - 1
BAN
15%
23%
62%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHO
0 - 1
BLY
63%
21%
17%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
DAR
1 - 0
BLY
67%
19%
13%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HER
3 - 0
BLY
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |