Wrexham AFC vs Barrow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
WRE
2 - 0
LUT
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
KET
0 - 1
WRE
22%
27%
50%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
STO
1 - 0
WRE
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
KID
0 - 1
WRE
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
WRE
4 - 1
HAY
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
BAT
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
KID
1 - 2
BAR
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
LUT
24%
28%
49%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 0
KET
61%
22%
18%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |