Wrexham AFC vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
72.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
16.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
BRA
2 - 1
WRE
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
WRE
2 - 1
MOR
24%
26%
51%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
POR
1 - 1
WRE
63%
20%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
DAR
2 - 0
WRE
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
WRE
3 - 1
BOS
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ASV
2 - 1
FUL
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 0
ASV
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
ASV
1 - 2
LIV
23%
28%
48%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
BOL
2 - 2
ASV
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
ASV
3 - 0
SHE
54%
26%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |