Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Wrexham AFC vs Anderlecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1976 |
AND
1 - 0
WRE
86%
10%
4%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1975 |
STA
1 - 1
WRE
71%
16%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
WRE
2 - 0
STA
45%
22%
32%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
DJU
1 - 1
WRE
83%
11%
7%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
WRE
2 - 1
DJU
26%
21%
54%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
AND
1 - 0
BRU
46%
24%
30%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
LOK
2 - 0
AND
29%
23%
48%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1976 |
AND
1 - 0
WRE
86%
10%
4%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
AND
1 - 1
ANT
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1976 |
CHA
2 - 2
AND
19%
24%
57%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |