Wrexham AFC vs AFC Telford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
WRE
6 - 1
STO
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
STO
2 - 2
WRE
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
STO
3 - 1
WRE
80%
15%
5%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 1
WRE
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
WRE
1 - 3
DAR
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ALD
1 - 2
AFC
56%
23%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
AFC
0 - 0
NUN
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
NUN
4 - 4
AFC
32%
26%
43%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 1
AFC
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
AFC
3 - 4
EAS
29%
24%
47%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |