Worthing vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
42.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
BRI
3 - 0
WOR
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
WOR
2 - 2
ENF
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
MER
0 - 4
WOR
41%
22%
37%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
WOR
0 - 0
LOW
57%
21%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
WOR
2 - 0
BUR
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
DUL
1 - 2
WIN
69%
18%
14%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
WIN
1 - 0
MET
45%
25%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
WIN
2 - 0
HAR
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
WIN
0 - 1
LEI
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
HEN
0 - 1
WIN
65%
20%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |