Worthing vs Torquay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
WOR
1 - 2
ROC
49%
22%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
WOR
2 - 1
BOR
55%
22%
22%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MAI
1 - 2
WOR
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
2 - 3
WOR
17%
21%
63%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
WOR
1 - 0
WEY
86%
10%
4%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MAI
1 - 0
GUL
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
GUL
0 - 1
HAM
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
SLO
2 - 2
GUL
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
STA
1 - 1
GUL
20%
23%
57%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
GUL
3 - 1
WEL
73%
17%
11%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |