Worthing vs Tonbridge Angels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PLY
0 - 4
WOR
10%
15%
76%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
WOR
1 - 0
WEL
76%
15%
10%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
WOR
0 - 2
MAI
63%
20%
18%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
WOR
3 - 1
DAR
80%
12%
8%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WEY
1 - 1
WOR
15%
20%
65%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tonbridge Angels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 1
TON
21%
21%
58%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SLO
3 - 1
TON
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TON
2 - 1
WAL
49%
24%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TON
2 - 2
HAM
56%
23%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TON
2 - 1
MER
78%
15%
8%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | +1 |