Worthing vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
WOR
2 - 1
BOR
55%
22%
22%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MAI
1 - 2
WOR
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
2 - 3
WOR
17%
21%
63%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
WOR
1 - 0
WEY
86%
10%
4%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
WOR
5 - 1
GUL
59%
20%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ROC
4 - 0
YEO
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FOR
1 - 0
ROC
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
ROC
0 - 0
STO
66%
19%
15%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
FYL
1 - 3
ROC
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
ROC
3 - 0
TAM
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |