Worthing vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
BAT
0 - 2
WOR
18%
22%
60%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
WOR
4 - 3
SLO
55%
21%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
GUL
2 - 1
WOR
26%
23%
51%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
WOR
3 - 2
TON
67%
18%
15%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PLY
0 - 4
WOR
10%
15%
76%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 5
CHE
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 0
MOR
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 3
MKD
35%
26%
40%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
MOR
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
MOR
4 - 2
NOT
48%
22%
29%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |