Worthing vs Lewes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
WHI
1 - 2
WOR
21%
21%
58%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
WOR
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
WOR
2 - 0
COR
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BUR
2 - 1
WOR
23%
21%
56%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
WOR
0 - 2
BOG
74%
15%
10%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
ENF
1 - 1
LEW
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
LEW
0 - 3
BUR
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BOG
2 - 2
LEW
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
MER
3 - 2
LEW
27%
24%
50%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
LEW
5 - 0
BRI
69%
18%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |