Worthing vs Horsham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
WOR
3 - 2
ENF
54%
22%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
WOR
2 - 1
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
HAR
2 - 2
WOR
40%
25%
36%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
WOR
2 - 0
COR
81%
12%
7%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
BOW
1 - 2
WOR
32%
23%
46%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 0
EAS
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 1
HOR
54%
23%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
HOR
0 - 3
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
POT
0 - 2
HOR
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
HOR
4 - 0
BOW
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |