Worthing vs Folkestone Invicta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
WOR
2 - 1
BUR
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BUR
1 - 1
WOR
20%
20%
60%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
EBB
4 - 0
WOR
54%
23%
24%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
WOR
3 - 1
KIN
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MON
2 - 3
WOR
19%
18%
64%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FOL
5 - 1
LEA
45%
24%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
FOL
2 - 3
CAR
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LEW
2 - 0
FOL
42%
22%
36%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
BOG
2 - 4
FOL
46%
22%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 1
DOR
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |