Worthing vs Bath City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WOR
2 - 2
WHI
60%
21%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
WOR
2 - 1
WHI
72%
16%
12%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MAI
4 - 0
WOR
20%
22%
58%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
EAS
0 - 1
WOR
25%
22%
53%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WOR
1 - 1
HEM
73%
16%
11%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
BAT
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
WEY
1 - 2
BAT
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAT
2 - 2
DOV
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 3
BAT
12%
21%
67%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WEL
0 - 1
BAT
31%
26%
44%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |